Erdogan's attempt to ban his rival from politics is drawing a backlash in Turkey

The intelligentsia in Turkey has flayed the decision of a Turkish court sentence - Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu to prison and barring him from politics for more than two years is proving unpopular. Critics say the ruling, handed down last Wednesday after the court convicted Imamoglu of insulting public officials, clearly favours President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his ruling Justice and Development Party, known by the acronym AKP.

The eroding Erdogan's popularity has ignited him to follow an intense campaign to contest next year's presidential contest. It signals a potentially forceful promotion of his candidature for the next season ahead, with Erdogan playing to his conservative, religious base of supporters. Elections must take place by June 23.

Thousands of Turkish people hit the streets against Erdogan's Government

As thousands of Turkish people hit the streets to protest against Imamoglu's prison sentence and political ban, former Erdogan ally and former Turkish President Abdullah Gul said, "The court's decision is a great injustice not only against Ekrem Imamoglu but also against Turkish people. The will of the people is above all. I believe that the higher courts will correct this mistake."

Mayor Imamoglu is a potential challenger to Erdogan

Analysts believe that Imamoglu would clearly be among the strongest challengers to Erdogan's authoritarian rule and bid for another term in office, even though the mayor has never announced his candidacy for the presidency. Imamoglu called the court's decision a "disgrace for the Turkish judiciary," saying it was "the firmest expression of the fact that the judiciary has been transformed into an instrument to punish dissidents."

Imamoglu’s rising to power and securing his position with a surprise victory in the 2019 Istanbul mayoral race was seen as the biggest blow to the AKP since Erdogan became Turkey's prime minister, and then as its first president with strong executive powers.

The charges against Imamoglu stemmed from comments he made to the media in 2019, in which he described those responsible for cancelling the first round of municipal elections, which he won, as "fools." He went on to win the next round decisively.

The mayor's supporters say he has been a favourite target of Erdogan and the AKP ever since he shocked some in the establishment with his 2019 mayoral victory. Critics allege that Turkey's judiciary over the years has been refashioned into a frequently pro-Erdogan body.

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The government insists the judiciary has been and will remain independent.

An opinion survey by Turkey Report, a polling firm, found a solid majority of respondents — 64% — believe this month's ruling against Imamoglu was "unfair." Can Selcuki, director of Turkey Report, claim just 14% described the ruling as fair, and 22% recorded no opinion? Some 62% of respondents called the ruling a political decision, rather than a legal one.

Meanwhile, the Biden administration deplored the ruling, with State Department spokesperson Ned Price saying in a statement that the conviction "is inconsistent with respect for human rights, fundamental freedoms, and the rule of law."

United States statement went on to say that the administration remains "gravely concerned by the continued judicial harassment of civil society, media, political and business leaders in Turkey, including scrupulous prolonged pretrial detention, overtly broad claims of support for terrorism, and criminal insult cases."

The head of TUSIAD, Turkey's largest business association, also criticized the sentence, saying political bans "have no place in a democratic society."

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